S15: Hungry Ghosts

Misinformation and China

February 9, 2026

Flower Drum Song

Flower Drum Song: Lyrics

Speaking of Fengyang, let me tell you about Fengyang, Fengyang is truly a good place.
Since the rise of Emperor Zhu, there have been famines for nine out of ten years.
Dong de long dong qiang, dong de long dong qiang, dong de long dong qiang, dong qiang dong qiang.
Wealthy families sell cattle and sheep, while poorer families sell their sons.
I have no sons to sell, so I carry a flower drum and wander far and wide.
Dong de long dong qiang, dong de long dong qiang, dong de long dong qiang, dong qiang dong qiang.

With a gong in my left hand and a drum in my right, I hold the gong and drum to sing.
I don’t know any other songs, I only know how to sing the Fengyang Song.
Here comes the Fengyang Song~ yeah.
De lang dang, floating around, de lang dang, floating around.
Floating, floating, floating, floating, floating, floating, floating.

The Good Earth: Synopsis

1937 adaptation of Pearl S. Buck’s The Good Earth
  • Wang Lung, a poor farmer in rural China, marries O-Lan, a slave who becomes his partner.
  • Through hard work, he becomes prosperous and buys more land, but his sons are influenced by their wealth.
  • A famine forces the family to leave their land for city work, and upon returning, Wang Lung struggles with changes in his family.
  • His sons’ focus on luxury causes conflicts and disconnects them from their roots.
  • In the end, Wang Lung realizes that wealth does not guarantee happiness and reflects on the importance of the land.

The Good Earth

Land reform in Communist China

1937 adaptation of Pearl S. Buck’s The Good Earth

The Famine

Workers during the Great Leap Forward
  • Worst famine in human history
  • Number of casualties debated, but 15-45 million deaths
  • More deaths than political campaigns and world war
  • Peace-time and preventable

Key questions

  • Seeing like a state:
    • What caused misreporting of harvest figures?
    • How much did the leadership know?
    • Why didn’t the facts stop the mass famine?
  • Dictators’ dilemma: How to collect accurate information? Is it a source of regime weakness – or resilience?
  • How can historians access the truths about the famine?

Urban revolutions

Establishing order:

  • Campaign to suppress counter-revolutionaries
  • Korean War, 1950-1952

Change behavior and attitude:

  • Campaigns against crime, drugs, sex trade
  • Thought reform of bourgeois intellectuals

Complete development tasks:

  • Population registration
  • Political vetting of civil servants and party officials
  • Collectivization of services and handicrafts
  • Nationalization of industry

Rural revolution in China

Grateful for peasant brothers, 1965

Two distinct stages:

  • Land reform: class struggle destroyed economic and political foundation of local elites
  • Collectivization: Consolidation of land into village-wide farms, farmers as laborers in rural organizations overseen by party-state

Land reform

Struggle session against local bully
  • Violent struggle: 800K landlords killed
  • Decline of rural elites and the rise of new village governance
  • Classifying peasants as rich, middle, or poor peasants
  • Groundwork for later campaigns to collectivize agriculture

Village as collective farm

Speaking bitterness campaign
  • Reversal of fruits of land reform: land gained now controlled by gov
  • End of household farming: Land, tools, draft animals under collective ownership and control
  • End of rural markets, replaced by state purchasing stations for staple and cash crops
  • Collective farms as units of government and as economic enterprises
  • Farmers as employees: work points for work, tied to land as bonded labor

State socialism as growth machine

Marc Riboud: Anshan factory workers
  • Rise of the Soviet Union: industrialization of 1930s created major power during WWII
  • From 1928 to 1949: Annual rate of 3.2% – double that of the US
  • Economic model: Rapid, heavy industrialization through agricultural collectivization
  • Political model: How to develop unity of thought and action

Land Reform in Global Context

China

  • Mid-19th century: Taiping Heavenly Kingdom land confiscation and redistribution
  • 1927: Mao Zedong, “Report on an Investigation of the Peasant Movement in Hunan”
  • 1940: CCP double reduction campaign
  • 1943: Chiang Kai-shek published “China’s Destiny”
  • 1947: CCP Basic Program on Chinese Agrarian Law
  • 1949: Nationalist Party passed land reform law in Taiwan

World

  • 19th century: Emperor Meiji pensioned off feudal lords (daimyo)
  • 1945-1946: General Douglas MacArthur made ‘land to the tiller’ official policy.
  • 1953: Land reform law in South Korea

Pillars of the planned economy

Marc Riboud: Dock workers
  • Market demand and financial markets no longer drivers of the economy
  • Economic activity driven by “production demand”
  • “Unproductive demand” – e.g. consumer goods – suppressed
  • Key goal: capital formation at accelerated pace
  • State ownership of all productive assets and financial sector
  • Collective farms: Sell food quotas to the state at low prices
  • Extracting surpluses out of the countryside to promote urban industry

Problems with planned economy

Hungarian economist, Janos Kornai (1928-2021)
  • Shortage economy: Demand constrained (market economy) vs. resource constrained (planned economy)
  • System designed to maximize productive investments leads to wasteful use of resources
  • Consumer austerity: rationing

Economic disputes within CCP

Mao Zedong

  • Organizational changes: Larger socialist farms would bring economies of scale
  • Political mobilization: Mobilization of labor would lead to breakthrough in output
  • Political efforts create the condition for rapid economic growth

Liu Shaoqi

  • Balanced approach to growth: higher income for peasants + profits in light industry = more investments in heavy industry
  • More mechanization first, then voluntary and gradual collectivization
  • Political efforts should be constrained by existing types and level of economic production

How to deal with problems of the Soviet system?

Marc Riboud: Couple at production team
  • Scientific management: Reliance on stats, maths, and trained experts to perfect
  • More reliance on market: End to input/output planning; greater autonomy to enterprise managers
  • More politics in command; political mobilization

Instabilities in the socialist world

Polish October Uprising, 1956

Hungarian Revolution 1956

Nikita Khrushchev denounces Stalin

Nikita Khrushchev (1894-1971)
  • Speech to 12th congress of Soviet Communist Party on Feb 25, 1956
  • Stalin’s “mania for greatness” and “nauseatingly false” adulation disguised reality as incompetent leader and weak commander

Ideological disputes in the socialist world

Nikita Khrushchev

  • Post-Stalinist socialism: Bureaucratic system staffed by individuals motivated by career advancement and special privileges
  • Major role of highly educated experts in science and technology

Mao Zedong

  • One form of repression replaced with another
  • Deviation from revolutionary path and threat to ideals of mass line and struggle

Organizing rural society

Unit Equivalent size Average population
Commune County 15 brigades of 15000 people
Production brigade Village 7 teams of 220 households, 1000 people
Production team Most basic unit 30 households of 150 people
Year Number of communes Size
1957 70,000 15 production brigades, roughly equal to villages
1958 23,000 Over 50 villages

Rural collectivization, continued

Backyard furnace
  • Personal possessions – cookware, tables, etc. – turned over to communal mess halls
  • No longer able to store and prepare own food
  • Suspension of work points and rations
  • Rapid expansion of rural bureaucracy: millions of new full-time cadres running communes, production brigades and teams
  • Centralized control of resources previously in hands of households and villages

Production drive

Rice field in Guangdong, 1958
  • End of seasonal agriculture: Planting and harvest as busiest time; winter as slack time
  • Constant and incessant demand on labor: Irrigation projects, road building, terracing of hillsides, small factories
  • Diversion of labor away from agriculture led to poor production and harvest
  • Militarization of rural life: All time and effort subject to campaign

Great Leap Backward

Children in 1959
  • Inflated numbers: Grain harvest in 1958
    • Official figure: 375 million tons
    • Actual figure: 200 million tons, 2.5% increase from previous year
  • By April 1958: Widespread food shortages and riots
  • By early 1959: Famine spreading nation-wide
  • Result: Worst famine in human history, with excess deaths of between 24 and 30 million

Discuss: Famine evidence

Discuss:

  • What I notice about the source
  • Questions / concerns I might have
  • The very next primary source I might want to find
  • Broader subjects and/or genres of questions that might be related to my problem

Documents:

  • Peng Dehuai: Letter of Opinion to Mao Zedong on the Great Leap Forward (1959)
  • Mao Zedong: Chairman Mao’s words at the Shanghai Conference, March 25, 1959
  • Document 110, “Our View of China’s Agriculture,” a letter by Niu Weixin and Cai Fumin of Nanjing, February 1962 and Document 111, “Survey of the Socialist Education Campaign in various ethnic regions in Xichang, Sichuan province, by the Xichang Region Party Committee, February 4, 1959”

Discuss: Peng Dehuai’s Letter

Peng Dehuai during the Cultural Revolution
  • What did the party do wrong?
  • Who should take responsibility?
  • Would you have written such a letter to Mao? Why or why not?

When policy debates become line struggles

Lushan Conference, 1959
  • Political leaders opposed to “rash advance” as “right-wing opportunists”
  • Balance, planning, economic laws as “superstition” and “dogmatism”
  • “Politics in command”: Class conflict between bourgeoisie and proletariat as main contradiction
  • Support for leap policies as primary mark of political loyalty
  • Real problem: not coercive extraction, but sabotage by class enemies
  • From Anti-rightist Campaign to Great Leap Forward: Purge prevented course correction

Ideological disputes in the socialist world

Nikita Khrushchev

  • Post-Stalinist socialism: Bureaucratic system staffed by individuals motivated by career advancement and special privileges
  • Major role of highly educated experts in science and technology

Mao Zedong

  • One form of repression replaced with another
  • Deviation from revolutionary path and threat to ideals of mass line and struggle

Discuss: Mao Zedong’s words at the Shanghai Conference, March 25, 1959

In the next three months we need to put our efforts into developing our industry. We must be forceful, relentless, and precise. Our leadership in charge of industry should act like the First Emperor of Qin.10 To distribute resources evenly will only ruin the Great Leap Forward. When there is not enough to eat, people starve to death. It is better to let half the people die so that the other half can eat their fill.

  • What was the context of this speech?
  • What did Mao say? What didn’t he say?
  • What did Mao know when he made the speech? What didn’t he know?
  • What strategies did Mao employ to ensure bureaucratic compliance?

Mao: Powerful yet powerless

Chinese leader Mao Zedong with Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev in August 1958. Photo: AFP
  • “Permanent revolution”: 1949 as only “the first step in the long march of the Chinese revolution”
  • Despite unrestricted power, profound anxiety: How to prevent revolution from losing momentum?
  • Desire for leadership: After Stalin, is the Soviet Union still a leader of the int’l communist movement?

Jisheng Yang, Tombstone: Excerpt

Yang Jisheng

Mao believed some lies, and even when he was skeptical of others, it was to no avail. According to the memoirs of his personal secretary, Ye Zilong, at the outset, Mao believed the reports of “satellite launches,” and read the reports of exaggerated crop yields with genuine thoroughness, circling and underlining portions with a red pencil.

Jisheng Yang, Tombstone: Excerpt

Yang Jisheng

Later on, he took note of many problems that emerged with the Great Leap Forward. He inspected many localities, and saw through some of the satellite launches and lies. On August 13, 1958, when Mao toured Tianjin’s Xinli Village, commune leaders claimed that a paddy field had yielded 50,000 kilos per mu.

Jisheng Yang, Tombstone: Excerpt

Yang Jisheng

Mao said, “You’re exaggerating. That’s not possible, and you’re just shooting off your mouth. I’ve worked in the fields and you haven’t. That’s unreliable—50,000 kilos, I don’t believe it. You can’t even pile up that much grain!” The commune leaders told a child to go stand on top of the rice plants, but Mao said, “Child, don’t do it. The higher you stand, the harder you fall!”

Jisheng Yang, Tombstone: Excerpt

Yang Jisheng

Mao was vexed at his lack of access to facts. One time, in Ye Zilong’s presence, he muttered, “Why won’t they tell me the truth? Why?”

Discuss: Letter on Agriculture and Survey

Harvest in Shaanxi, 1957
  • In the Fuling branch’s letter to the Sichuan Provincial Party Committee, what is the local assessment of agricultural collectivization?
  • What went wrong? What should be done?
  • What tone / argumentative strategy did the letter writers employ? Was it effective?
  • What rumors and acts of sabotage have been reported? What conclusions can we draw from these local accounts?

Fake news, real famine

People’s Daily, August 13, 1958
  • Cycles of mutual deception and self-deception within bureaucracy
  • Officials at all levels under pressure to agree and conform, especially in the wake of anti-rightist campaign
  • Failure not an option: Hiding evidence, blocking negative reports, insisting on good news
  • False claims about sabotage: Peasants hiding / hoarding grain, eating too much
  • Country trapped by false reports of harvest

Discuss: Dikötter vs. Garnaut

Works reviewed in “Hard facts and half-truths”:

  • Frank Dikötter, Mao’s Great Famine : The History of China’s Most Devastating Catastrophe, 1958-1962 (New York: Walker & Co., 2010).
  • Jisheng Yang, Tombstone : The Great Chinese Famine, 1958 - 1962 (New York: Farrar, Strauss and Giroux, 2013).
  • What’s the dispute about?
  • Who is more convincing?
  • What’s at stake?