S20: TikTok: Victim or Villain?

Misinformation and China

February 20, 2026

TikTok Dances

Key Questions

ByteDance is facing US demands that TikTok be sold to cut ties to its home country, while Beijing has taken legal measures to prevent any divestment without its consent © FT Montage/Dreamstime
  • “Truths” about TikTok: How to separate rumors from the real risks?
  • To ban or not to ban?
  • How to regulate social media in the age of misinformation?

Discuss: History of Tiktok

Zhang Yiming
  • Who is Zhang Yiming, founder of Bytedance?
  • What is Bytedance’s business model? What makes the company successful?
  • Discuss Bytedance’s early products: Today’s Headlines (jinri toutiao) and Subtle Jokes (Neihan duanzi)

Discuss: Bytedance, Tiktok, Douyin

Headquarter of Bytedance
  • Who owns Tiktok?
  • Who owns Bytedance? Is it a Chinese company?
  • From Douyin to Tiktok: How were the apps born? What are their differences?
  • What’s Bytedance’s relationship to the Chinese government? Do they share information?
  • How does the app recommend and/or moderate content?

Douyin’s Secret Sauce: Not Just the Algorithm

Social and e-commerce features on Douyin
  • Help creators grow: Focus on creativity of ordinary people
  • Topic marketing: Launching hashtags as trending topics or themes (e.g., #Booktok)
  • Make content creation frictionless: Background music, filters, editing tools, etc.
  • Turn comment section into a social hub: Where comments are as entertaining as the video
  • Personalized recommendation: Constant exposure to new creators
  • Where there is content, there is commerce: Seamless shopping

National Security: Guilty by birth?

Video: “No, I’m Singaporean”

Discussion: Banning Tiktok

  • Is the app a national security issue? How?
  • How legitimate are Tiktok’s data privacy concerns? How do they compare to other social media platforms?
  • Should TikTok be banned for its addictive algorithm and its impact on young users?
  • What are economic consequences of banning TikTok, especially for creators and small businesses?

Risk analysis: What’s at stake?

Risk Reason
Trustworthiness risk Country of origin
Data security risk Exponential growth; compliance with Chinese data laws
Ethical risk Protecting users (especially minors) data and privacy vs. Making app attractive (addictive)
Data censorship risk Past censorship behavior; AI’s ability to automate bias and shape public opinion

Bytedance’s Choices

  • Do nothing and stick to mission
  • Lobby with government
  • Legal battles
  • Sell-off / Spin-off

Bytedance: Terrible dealt hand?

US Democratic representative Jamaal Bowman, left, addresses TikTok supporters during a news conference last month © Alex Wong/Getty Images
Action Outcome
Do nothing and stick to mission New ban from Biden administration
Lobby with government Project Texas, not approved by 1st Trump administration
Legal battles Lost in supreme court
Sell-off / Spin-off Subject to Chinese export control law

Distribution of TikTok users worldwide as of February 2025, by age and gender

Countries with the largest TikTok audience

Success despite adversity: Brand value of TikTok/Douyin

  • In 2024, TikTok/Douyin was the most valuable unicorn worldwide with a $200 billion market cap.
  • As of 2025, TikTok had over 950 million users, and Douyin had over 830 million users.
  • TikTok’s major markets are America and Southeast Asian countries.
  • A third of users aged below 34 years registered on TikTok versus half of Douyin users were under 31 years.

Dealmaker in Chief

What explains Trump’s shifting stance on Tiktok?

Tiktok’s New Deal

Trump signing Tiktok deal 2025
  • U.S. Data Security Joint Venture: TikTok has established a U.S.-based joint venture to handle data security, algorithm integrity, content moderation, and software assurance — formally separating these functions from ByteDance’s Chinese parent.
  • Valuation: The joint venture is valued at approximately $14 billion, while ByteDance’s overall private valuation surged to ~$500 billion post-deal (up from under $300 billion during the threat of a ban).

Who’s in Control?

ByteDance Retains 19.9% Stake:

Under U.S. law, ByteDance holds the maximum allowed minority stake of 19.9%. The joint venture is majority-owned (80%) by a consortium of U.S. and allied investors, including Oracle, Silver Lake, MGX (Emirati investment vehicle), Dell, etc.

Algorithm Control Compromise:

TikTok’s core recommendation algorithm remains owned by ByteDance but is licensed to the U.S. joint venture, where it is retrained, tested, and updated using U.S. user data — all secured within Oracle’s U.S. cloud infrastructure.

Economic Benefits Stay with ByteDance:

Despite the separation, ByteDance retains direct control of TikTok’s U.S. revenue streams — including advertising, e-commerce, and marketing — preserving the majority of profits.

Who Benefits?

  • Geopolitical Approval: The deal required approval from both U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.
  • Former President Donald Trump personally intervened to broker the agreement. While China has not publicly endorsed the final structure, it has given the green light to the deal’s outline.

Have You Said “Thank You”?

The Billionaire Behind Everything

  • Oracle as Key Partner: Oracle (led by Trump ally Larry Ellison) is responsible for securing U.S. user data and hosting the algorithm, acting as the technical and security backbone of the venture.
  • Ellison has control huge portions of America’s AI, attention economy and legacy media. He already owns swathes of AI infrastructure and is preparing to takeover TikTok, whilst his son, whose company Skydance already owns Paramount, is preparing a deal to buy Warner Bros.

Oracle in China

Discuss: TikTok’s New Deal

  • Was a good deal?
  • For whom?
  • Why?

New Censorship on TikTok

Discuss: Governing AI

Big tech
  • What should be the guiding principles for the development and use of AI?
  • Should we be concerned with artificial general intelligence (AGI)? Can humanity monitor AI if it matches or surpasses human cognitive capabilities?
  • What are the stakes of the AI tech race? Should the US lead, and how?

Reflections: Future of AI

  • AI promises to provide better information and make people more productive.
  • However, only a few companies and governments control powerful AI, and the industry’s focus is currently on geopolitical competition and making money.
  • AI could be an equalizing force, but it can also be used as a tool for ruling over people, with serious concerns about job loss, income inequality, and the impact on democracy.